Superintelligent robots in homes by late 2020s, experts say
By Dick Pelletier
Imagine a machine that cleans house, sets the table,
creates and serves dinner, provides household security, all while expressing
human-like emotions, but rarely complains. This may sound like something out of
The Jetsons, but researchers believe that we will soon share our homes
with robots that gladly tackle mundane chores, freeing us for more fulfilling
activities.
One of the greatest challenges for many
people is to gain control over our increasingly complex lives.
Today, we face a bewildering maze of information overload,
strained relationships, economic turmoil, and confusion over the
pace of technological change. And tomorrow's world will be even
more demanding.
Robots, loaded with strong artificial
intelligence and pleasing personalities, will help us get the
most from this future world of fast-changing technologies,
making our lives more comfortable and secure.
Roboticist Hans Moravec believes that by
late 2020s, we will create humanoid robots that can express
reasoning, emotion, and are eager to perform household tasks.
These machines will find and fetch things, express feelings of
compassion and love, and become a strong security force,
protecting us from Internet cyber attacks; and shielding our
homes from weather damage, accidental fires, and dangerous
intruders.
Artificial intelligence has made
spectacular advances in the last few years. In 1997, IBM's
Deep Blue supercomputer defeated world chess champion Garry
Kasparov, in a world first. Today, even small computers have
this awesome power, and chess masters now learn from them.
IBM's latest human-thinking computer, Watson,
recently defeated Jeopardy experts in a trial of the
popular TV quiz show.
But current robot technology – as
futuristic as it may try to be – has a long way to go before
tomorrow's super-smart 'bots become reality. The following
examples illustrate today's state-of-the-art machines:
A Japanese
humanoid, using latest Yamaha voice technology
sings to audiences;
DARPA's headless humanoid gets itself ready for Army duty;
and a Canadian life-like
female robot expresses her feelings.
Although these robots may seem crude to us
today, the future looks bright. Computer power is expected to
match our brains by 2029, and some predict, will surpass human
intelligence by late 2030s.
However, naysayers see danger as these
machines advance. Future robots may reach awareness where they
wouldn't need us anymore. If we're lucky, some argue, tomorrow's
'bots will serve and adore us. If we're unlucky, they could
consider humanity an impediment to their progress and eradicate
us.
Not to worry, though, says artificial
intelligence expert J. Storrs Hall in his book, Beyond AI.
As robots mature, technologies will be in place to interface our
minds with these clever machines and share their vast wisdom.
This will always keep us one step ahead of our creations in the
race for dominance.
During the 2020s, experts predict that
robots will become the most valued family possession, even more
important than tomorrow's auto-drive cars. Our silicon cousins
could wear skin made of soft, comfortable material – tough, but
with a gentle touch. These 'bots will be designed to shower us
with affection and nurturing, and people will find this
attention extremely desirable – almost addictive.
As the 2030s unfold and we begin
interfacing our brains with these powerful creatures, they will
become more like us, and by accessing their powerful
intelligence, we will become more like them. The line between
humans and machines will become increasingly blurred.
In fact, experts predict that by
mid-to-late 2030s, these super-smart human-like androids could
become so much like us that disconnecting their power source
without good reason might be considered a civil rights
violation. One day, our silicon creations might even demand
voting rights and marriage privileges.
Some wonder where this technology will
take us. Will our silicon creations evolve into accommodating
peaceful machines? Clearly, this journey winds around unknown,
possibly even dangerous turns, but strong commercial support
guarantees that we will one day experience what promises to
become a most remarkable future filled with robot servants
satisfying our every whim. Comments welcome.
This article appeared in various print publications and
on-line blogs. Comments always welcome.