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Live to year 2030 and you may never die, experts claim
By Dick Pelletier
Acclaimed futurist Ray Kurzweil
sums up how new technologies might play out over the next two
decades with the following claim: "If you remain in good health
for 20 more years, you may never die."
Kurzweil looks at today's trends to piece together a
convincing picture of what science hopes to accomplish in the
future. He believes we will eliminate most disease, pain, and
forgetfulness. "If you live well for the next 20 years," he
says, "you may be able to live in perfect health for as long as
you wish."
Although accidents, crime, and other forms of violence, may
still cause death in this future time, nobody will die from
heart disease, cancer, diabetes, or any of today's age-related
illnesses.
This future is not surprising considering the current speed
of medical innovations. It seems just about every week, we hear
researchers make fresh discoveries, or begin clinical trials for
a new therapy; and during the next 20 years, experts say,
healthcare breakthroughs will occur at even faster rates than
today.
In a recent New York Times interview, Harvard
genetics professor George Church forecasts a bright future for
regenerative medicine using stem cells. Involved in the
Personalized Genome Project, an aggressive effort to
sequence the genes of 100,000 people, Church sees an increase in
doctors using induced pluripotent stem (IPS) cells to create
replacement organs and tissues between now and 2020.
These wonder cells could one day regenerate nearly every part
of the human body, Church says. At first, the process will be
used to make sick patients well, but it will soon become clear
that people, who enjoy good health, will want these procedures
to enhance and strengthen their already healthy bodies.
In Nanomedicine, author Robert Freitas talks of
developing tiny nanorobots that roam through our bodies,
repairing cell damage. "The hard part is building the first
one," Freitas says; "although the road ahead may be difficult,
in the end, living in perfect health for an indefinite time will
become possible."
Freitas compares nanomedicine development to the computer
industry. It took 60 years of market-driven research to bring
computers to their present state with today's 'smart'
cell-phones, laptops and tablets; and we will see a similar, but
more rapid progression with nanomedicine.
"Nanoscience," Freitas predicts, "will produce bio-robots by
2010-to-2015. Next will be hybrid robots built from engineered
structural DNA, synthetic proteins, and other non-biological
materials. Finally, by early 2030s or before, researchers will
produce completely artificial devices: nanorobots capable of
protecting every cell in the body from disease and injury."
If we define disease as something gone wrong with an
otherwise healthy body, Freitas adds, then aging; and indeed,
'natural death' are diseases, which occur when the body's
cellular structure cannot repair damages. Nanomedicine will not
only allow us to repair these damages, but we can undo damage
already inflicted. This means that the young can remain young
and the old will become young.
In just 20 years, seniors and 'boomers might look in the
mirror wondering, "Who is that gorgeous creature?" Their
reflection would reveal a perfectly-shaped body with natural
hair color, wrinkle-free skin, and real teeth. In this future
time, people will remain healthy indefinitely, enjoying a life
with driverless cars, household robots, and vacations to Moon,
Mars and other exotic locations in the high frontier.
Even though our lives will improve immensely, extending human
lifespans beyond what some consider 'natural' may evoke
controversy. Religions hold that death is inevitable; that
living a good life sends believers to an afterlife paradise, and
memories of lost loved ones live on in the hearts of
descendents.
Nevertheless, experts believe this controversy will not stop
efforts to extend health and increase human lifespan. Demand
from citizens who believe they deserve improved health and
longer, happier lives, will drive this future forward; and it
could become reality in time to benefit most people alive today.
Will abilities to extend life progress like this? Stem cell
advances, genetic breakthroughs, and nanotech discoveries are
occurring almost daily. Humanity's dream of immortality could be
just around the corner!
This article appeared in various print publications and
on-line blogs. Comments always welcome.
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