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Cognitive Computers: building machines that think and reason
like us
By Dick Pelletier
Cognitive computing, computers that process
information the same way a brain does has been a dream for 50
years. Artificial intelligence, fuzzy logic, and neural networks
have all experienced some degrees of success, but machines still
cannot recognize pictures or understand language as well as
humans can.
Despite the many false starts though, forward thinkers like
George Mason University's Dr. James Albus believe
cognitive computing research is at the tipping point, similar to
where nuclear physics was in 1905. Albus cites evidence, which
includes technologies presented in this article, that a
revolution is underway.
Humanizing Computers Fast Becoming Reality –
A team led by Dharmendra Modha at the IBM Almaden Research
Center, with support from the Defense Advance Research
Project Agency (DARPA), recently completed the first phase
of a computer chip project known as SyNAPSE (Systems of
Neuromorphic Adaptive Plastic Scalable Electronics) – a
human-like brain built entirely on a microchip.
SyNAPSE currently operates with 256 neurons, 262,144 synapses
and 256 axons. For comparison, an adult human brain has about
100 billion neurons and 100 trillion synapses. However, the
researchers believe that future versions of this project can be
expanded to mimic more of the human mind capacity.
In another endeavor, the Blue Brain Project at EPFL (Ecole
Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne), researchers hope to
reverse-engineer the human brain and construct an exact replica
in silicon. Chief scientist Henry Markram believes that this
international effort will achieve human brain emulation by 2024.
These research ventures promise cures for brain diseases such
as Alzheimer's and Parkinson's; and one day, they may even give
robots and other 'smart' machines human-like emotions and
consciousness.
'Smart' Cars – Carmakers are building
vehicles with more computer safety features. Department of
Transportation officials believe that driverless vehicles
expected in the 2020s, programmed with human-like emotions and
powerful computer decision-making logic will slash highway death
tolls everywhere.
Automating War – Department of Defense
planners predict that by the 2020s, computer-driven robots and
invisibility-cloaked auto-fly drones will remove most soldiers
from battlefield dangers. Though these futuristic combat systems
wield horrific destructive capabilities, experts believe they
may actually lead to less destruction, becoming a deterrent
force in wars, and assisting in the fight against terrorism.
Artificial Neurons Replace Human Brain Cells
– Foresight Institute consultant John Burch sees cognitive
computing working its way into our bodies. University of
Southern California scientists recently developed
implantable biomimetic electronics that they believe might one
day replace aging neurons.
By 2040, positive futurists believe we could be replacing all
of our brain cells with materials that process thoughts faster
than biological brains can. This faster brain would allow us to
run multiple simulations in our mind before making decisions,
which would reduce mistakes and raise human intelligence levels.
Burch describes how we would switch to the new brain: a pill
would supply materials with instructions for nanobots (projected
development – 2030s) to form new neurons and place them near
existing cells to be replaced. These changes would be
unnoticeable, but in six months, we will be enjoying our new
brain.
Brain-Machine Interface (BMI) – Cybernetics
specialist Christof Koch predicts cognitive computing will help
connect our brain with machines for direct transfer of data into
our minds. Mind enhancement will drive this science forward, and
experts say by late 2040s, BMIs will become a routine medical
procedure.
Imagine a hard drive linked directly to your mind enabling
you to 'download' memory implants for skill enhancements. This
would allow actions to be performed that have not been learned
directly. You could master any subject, or learn a foreign
language – without studying.
Conclusion – As we trek into the coming
decades we see machines becoming more like us; and by adopting
their computing power, we become more like them. Where will this
take us? Stay tuned.
This article appeared in various print publications and
on-line blogs. Comments always welcome.
Please note: This article represents a milestone, as
this is our 400th weekly published piece. I would like to thank
all my readers for your interest in science and technologies
presented in a forward view, Dick Pelletier,
futuretalk@positivefuturist.com.
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