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Medical breakthroughs forecast for the next 10 years
By Dick Pelletier
As the decade unfolds, huge strides are expected in
combating heart disease, cancer, and a host of other sicknesses
that plague humanity.
Faster Internet speeds and smarter cell phones will enable
individuals to maintain their own health records that include
personal details along with insurance, hospital, and HMO data;
and share this information with their primary care physician on
a secure Web, protected with unbreakable quantum computer
encryption technology.
The following list describes six major advancements we can
expect during this decade:
- Replacement organs and tissues. Each year
researchers are becoming more proficient in turning stem cells
into hearts, brains, bones, muscles; nearly every part of the
human body. By 2020, some predict most heart diseases and
strokes will become manageable, and the focus will then shift to
conquering Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, and other brain disorders,
which positive futurists believe could be achieved by mid-2020s.
- Eliminating cancer deaths. Experts believe that
a cure for cancer may be realized during this decade.
Nanotechnologists have already developed treatments for certain
types of cancer and scientists are discovering more all the
time. Officials at the National Cancer Institute predict that by
2015, all cancer deaths will be preventable. It may not be cured
by then, they say, but no one will suffer the pain and death
that cancer now dishes out.
- Internet-accessible electronic records. Led by
today's free-to-patient Microsoft "HealthVault," high-tech
record keeping is expected to reach critical mass during this
decade. With patient approval, doctors can access records via
hand-held 'smart' devices. This efficient technology will reduce
medical errors; shorten office visits and lower health costs.
- Medication tailored to a person's individual genes.
Since sequencing the Human Genome, drugs
custom-designed to each individual's body has been the dream of
caregivers everywhere. With computer advances lowering costs of
genome sequencing, physicians can now use DNA therapy to
vaccinate against dangerous diseases. By 2020, many genetic
deficiencies will be correctible.
- Artificial retina enables the blind to see again.
Silicon retina prostheses capable of restoring
recognition of faces and other fine details will fully integrate
blind patients back into everyday society. This cutting-edge
science from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and other
research centers uses high-resolution video cameras mounted on
eyeglasses that transmit wirelessly to the prostheses implanted
in the eye.
- Efforts to end human aging gains momentum.
At a
recent Singularity University conference, Aubrey de Grey,
molecular biologist and author of End of Aging argued that aging
is only a disease – and a curable one at that. He says that
aging is simply a breakdown of cellular activities, preventable
with tomorrow's biotech and nanotech advancements. Many
scientists now believe de Grey is correct and by 2020, experts
envision worldwide support for a massive space-race type effort
to achieve indefinite lifespans.
There you have it. Six medical breakthroughs expected during
this decade. Although the list may seem speculative,
technologies for most of these events are already in beginning
stages of development. The next 10 years in medicine promises to
be a time of huge excitement for science and great hope for
humanity. Will this "magical future" happen on such a rapid
timescale? Most future-watchers believe it will.
This article appeared in various print publications and on-line blogs. Comments
always welcome.
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