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The 2030s: moving towards mid-century and beyond
By Dick Pelletier
The 3rd part of our 5-part series on what to expect as we
move towards mid-century and beyond, highlights four areas that
promise huge worldwide impact: nanotech and information
technologies slash poverty in developing countries;
driverless-pilotless skycars become popular transportation;
nanomedicine arouses public acceptance for indefinite lifespan;
a robot outthinks humans.
The Millennium Project's 2009 State of the Future
report reveals that in 2009, one billion people lived below
poverty levels on just $1.25-per-day. But during the 2010s and
2020s, molecular nanotech made cheap manufacturing possible, and
low-cost cell phones connected to an information-loaded
Internet, raised intelligence levels throughout the world. Most
2030s citizens live a healthy lifestyle while enjoying more of
technology's creature comforts.
Nearly every home has an environmentally-friendly vehicle
parked in the garage that can fly as well as drive. Backing out
the driveway, the onboard avatar hears our destination. The
skycar, powered by a superconductive electromagnetic drive rises
quietly; then glides gracefully through the sky. A quantum GPS
system prevents accidents on the ground and in the air. For
longer trips, we board a 500-mph maglev train, or hop a scramjet
to anywhere on Earth in an hour.
In his book, Engines of Creation, nanotech pioneer
Eric Drexler correctly predicted that by 2030, researchers will
develop nanorobots that swim through arteries, destroy
pathogens, and repair any damage the body sustains. It will heal
wounds, eliminate infections, cure diseases, and reverse
devastation caused by aging; and because these conditions are
the result of atoms being in the wrong place, putting them where
they belong, corrects problems with 100% accuracy.
The success of nanomedicine has convinced people that to
enjoy perfect health in a youthful body for an indefinite period
of time is no longer theory; it is now reality. Most doctors
view indefinite lifespans as the natural progression of
continued good health. But we're not immortal yet, expert's
caution – accidents and violence can still take lives – however
forward-thinkers believe that new technologies expected in the
future may eliminate all risks to human life. Stay tuned.
In the best-seller, The Singularity is Near,
futurist Raymond Kurzweil argues that the exponential pace of
technological progress makes emergence of smarter-than-human
intelligence the future's only logical outcome. Most
forward-thinkers believe that by mid-2030s, researchers will
produce a robot that is smarter than its maker. Programmed with
parallel processing similar to that found in human
consciousness, this intelligent machine mimics thoughts so
accurately, that some say it could be used as a medical tool to
better understand human behavior.
Among the many breakthroughs discovered with this
revolutionary technology includes the ability for humans to
enhance their brains by adding non-biological neurons, then link
directly with the intelligent machine to copy its rapid-learning
abilities.
Our 2030s world appears to be on the threshold of becoming an
affluent, peaceful global village, focused more on protecting
Earth's environment and scattering its populations to the stars,
than wasting energy on petty conflicts. Will this 2030s "magical
future" become reality? Time will tell.
Next week: The 2040s – the space elevator
lifts off; thought-speak becomes more popular than voice talk;
interactive high-tech homes provide luxurious life; the
Singularity launches a bold future.
This article appeared in various print publications and on-line blogs. Comments
always welcome.
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