Glowing future predicted by UN
"State of the Future Report"
By Dick Pelletier
We’ve seen the future … and we may not be doomed. The just published 2008
United Nations report, with input from 2,500 experts from around the world finds
life is improving for people worldwide – but governments are failing to grasp
the opportunities offered.
"This is a unique time in history. Mobile phones, the Internet, international
trade, language translation and jet planes are giving birth to an interdependent
humanity that can create and implement global strategies to improve its
prospects," the report states. "It is increasingly clear that the world has the
resources to address our common challenges. Ours is the first generation with
the means for many to know the world as a whole, identify global improvement
systems, and seek to improve them."
The
world is about to enjoy a prosperous future with an unprecedented ability to
extend lifespan and increase the power of ordinary people. The life extension
movement is growing exponentially and could be the next significant field
targeted by venture capitalists as alternative energy and clean tech wane.
Made
possible by soaring healthcare costs, unfunded Medicare-type liabilities in
every industrialized nation, and the demographic aging of populations, the
rapidly expanding life extension industry encompasses the commercialization of
scientific findings from stem cell, genetic engineering, regenerative medicine,
human enhancements, and other areas of health research.
"Advances in science, technology, education, economics, and management," the
report continues, "seems capable of making the world work far better than it
does today." Medical breakthroughs are offering the hope of defeating inherited
diseases, tailoring cures to individual patients – and even creating replacement
body parts.
Information technologies and PCs are spreading to remote villages in developing
countries, empowering the people with "collective intelligence and just-in-time
knowledge for informed decisions." Within 25 years, computer capacity is
expected to equal the power of the human brain, and in 50 years, everyone will
have access to processing power greater than that of all the brains on Earth
combined.
The
Internet has become a powerful force for reinventing citizens' roles in politics
and influencing policy-making and governance. Over the past 30 years, the report
states, the number of free countries has more than doubled from 43 to 90, while
those that are partly free increased from 46 to 60. Just over one-third of
humanity still lives in 43 countries with authoritarian regimes, but half of
these people are in China.
However there are many challenges the world must face, the report warns. "With
nearly three billion people making $2 or less per day, long-term global social
conflict seems inevitable without more serious food policies, useful scientific
breakthroughs, and dietary changes."
Organized crime "continues to grow in the absence of a comprehensive, integrated
global counterstrategy." The report estimates that this malicious faction is now
worth some $2 trillion a year. And there is a 75 percent chance that terrorists
will acquire nuclear weapons within 10 years.
It
appears that humanity now stands on the threshold of an affluent, peaceful
"magical future;" but forward thinkers believe we may need help from tomorrow’s
super-technologies – advanced nanotech and artificial intelligence – to make
this glowing prospect become reality. Will we succeed? Positive futurists
believe we will.
This article appeared in various print publications and
on-line blogs. Comments always welcome.