More efficient healthcare projected for next two decades
By Dick Pelletier
We often think nostalgically of our
past as the “good old days,” but projected scientific and
technological breakthroughs suggest the greatest and most
exciting times are yet to come. Today, breakthroughs in
healthcare rush at us with amazing speeds, but the golden ages
of biotech, 2010-2020, and molecular nanotech, 2020-2030,
promise even greater advances in human health.
Legendary biologist Leroy Hood predicts
that in the next decade, we will understand genetic
predispositions for most sicknesses and develop tools for
preventing them. “We’ll move from a mode that’s largely reactive
to one that’s predictive and preventive,” he says.
Between 2010 and 2020, research labs
will place strong focus on regenerative medicine with its
amazing prospect for re-growing organs and tissues from inside
the body. This new technology, according to a recent government
report, promises to radically improve health, restore a more
youthful appearance to aging seniors and ‘boomers, and eliminate
most deaths from cancer, heart disease, obesity, and many other
illnesses.
This future is not so surprising
considering how much we take our current speed of medical
innovations for granted. Almost daily we hear researchers make
fresh discoveries, or begin new clinical trials. Futurist Ray
Kurzweil predicts we can expect more medical advances between
now and 2020 than was experienced during the entire 20th
century.
And when we enter the 2020s, molecular
nanotech will begin to wield its powerful influence over our
lives. Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s Dr. Tuan Vo-Dinh
dreams of the day when nano-sized robots will roam freely
through the bloodstream, zapping diseased cells with pinpoint
lasers, repairing all problems they encounter along the way.
Though he admits that nanobots sound
like something out of the 1966 film Fantastic Voyage, Vo-Dinh
feels confident his dream will come true. “Already we can insert
nano-biosensors into cells and observe their process,” he says.
Officials at Foresight Institute,
an industry think tank, agree that future nanobots will
revolutionize healthcare. Ability to self-replicate makes them
inexpensive, and because they can position each atom in place
with perfect precision, they leave no doubts about the quality
of performance.
Today, when a cell is damaged, doctors
rely on drugs to instruct the cell to repair itself; a
hit-or-miss process that often fails. With nanobots, damaged
cells are completely rebuilt one atom at a time, creating a
flawless, brand new, youthful cell.
Institute for Molecular
Manufacturing’s Robert Freitas believes that, “when
nanorobotics becomes reality, which could happen as early as
mid-2020s, it will not stop at eliminating disease; it will
actually improve on nature. Bones would become stronger and
muscles more powerful.”
In addition, Freitas says, “this
potential draws the curtain on one of the most dramatic
possibilities of all: eliminating aging. Most scientists believe
aging results from cell malfunctions. Thus, if nanorobotics can
correct cellular problems, middle-aged and even elderly people
should be able to regain most of their youthful health,
strength, and beauty, and enjoy an almost indefinite extension
of life.”
Could these medical technologies become
reality in such a timely manner? Positive futurists believe they
can. The choice of living hundreds of years in perfect youthful
health may soon be within our grasp. Stay positive, and this
“magical future” could include you.
This article appeared in various print publications and
on-line blogs. Comments always welcome.